The intention of this paper is to analyse the mean square error of prediction (MSEP) under the distribution-free chain ladder (DFCL) claims reserving method. We compare the estimation obtained from the classical bootstrap method with the one obtained from a Bayesian bootstrap. To achieve this in...

Means-tested pension policies are typical for many countries and are very important to the pension system. These policies are specific for each country, and the assessment of policy changes is critical for policy makers. In this paper we consider the Australian means-tested Age Pension. The...

In this study we develop a multi-factor extension of the family of Lee-Carter stochastic mortality models. We build upon the time, period and cohort stochastic model structure to extend it to include exogenous observable demographic features that can be used as additional factors to improve...

Variable annuities, as a class of retirement income products, allow equity market exposure for a policyholder's retirement fund with electable additional guarantees to limit the downside risk of the market. Management fees and guarantee insurance fees are charged respectively for the market...

To meet the Basel II regulatory requirements for the Advanced Measurement Approaches in operational risk, the bank's internal model should make use of the internal data, relevant external data, scenario analysis and factors reflecting the business environment and internal control systems. One of...

In this paper we demonstrate how to develop analytic closed form solutions to optimal multiple stopping time problems of direct relevance to applications in insurance for Operational Risk. Within this context we study a class of insurance products where the policy holder has the option to insure...

In this paper we assume a multivariate risk model has been developed for a portfolio and its capital derived as a homogeneous risk measure. The Euler (or gradient) principle, then, states that the capital to be allocated to each component of the portfolio has to be calculated as an expectation...

This response has been put together by academics and in total independence of any corporate or individual interests. Our results are solely driven by scientific analysis and presented in the interest of the financial and business community, both the regulated entities and the regulators alike....

In this manuscript we explore a range of perspectives being adopted by industry and regulators in order to classify cyber crime or cyber risk loss processes. The purpose of this is to better understand and discuss the emerging perspectives on this class of risk process in order to inform...

The Least-Squares Monte Carlo method has gained popularity recent years due to its ability to handle multi-dimensional stochastic control problems without restrictions on the state dynamics, including problems with state variables affected by control. However, when applied to stochastic control...