This paper evaluates the performance of several popular technical trading rules applied to the Australian share market. The optimal trading rule parameter values over the in-sample period of 4/1/82 to 31/12/89 are found using a genetic algorithm. These optimal rules are then evaluated in terms...

In this paper i discuss the origin of the concept, between 1930 and 1933, in the writings of L.F. Giblin, R.F. Kahn, Roy Harrold and Michal Kalecki. Of the four, i argue, Kalecki's treatment of the export multiplier is most interesting, not least because he anticipated much more recent analyses...

Recently, it has been shown that seasonal and business cycles are related and a similar economic mechanism is at work in producing both types of cycles. Thus, an analysis of seasonal fluctuations shed light on the nature of the business cycle. This paper uses the LM-type tests proposed by Canova...

This paper investigates whether or not the LM techniques proposed to test the null hypothesis of linearity against GARCH, bilinear (BL) and Joint GARCH-BL alternatives separately, have desirable finite sample properties. The result of a Monte carlo simulation study show that their sizes are...