The uncertainty around monetary policy decision-making requires central banks to make extensive use of macroeconomic models both to analyze the current economic situation and to forecast the evolution of the main economic variables. The Small Economic Model (SEM) for Argentina describes in a...

The use of macroeconomic forecasting models is a common practice in central banks for monetary policy design, for the analysis of the current economic developments and for medium and long term forecasts. Among those models, the small-scale macroeconomic models stand out. Though relatively...

This paper analyzes the evolution and differential scope of restrictions to financing for the companies surveyed by the Large Companies Survey (ENGE) of the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) during the period 1995-2003. The main purpose of this study is to differentiate results...

The main purpose of this paper is to study the problem created by the lack of information about the credit history of some debtors in the databases used to develop credit scoring models and the use of information about behavior compiled by a credit risk register as a potential solution to the...

Monetary policymaking requires an adequate appraisal of price dynamics and reliable forecasts for short and medium term inflation. Since the relevant inflation for monetary policy purpose may not be adequately measured by conventional consumer price indexes, there is a need for core inflation...

The role of the exchange rate under inflation targeting (IT) remains an unresolved issue in literature and policy discussions -and a challenge for central banks implementing IT, especially in developing countries. This paper aims at assessing whether there is a relation between the nominal...

This paper develops a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model for a small open economy (SOE) that can be calibrated to simulate the macro dynamics of a semi-industrialized developing country like Argentina. We consider a multilateral non-commodity trade environment, with the U.S.A....

Although the international crisis was initially seen as an event limited to a particular segment of the financial systems of central economies, it rapidly escalated and became global through different transmission channels, raising doubts over the hypothesis of the so-called decoupling. Latin...

The low depth of the argentinian financial system has motivated doubts about its potentials of development, even under relatively favorable macroeconomic expectations. Contributing to the analysis of this key industry, the current paper develops a methodology to measure the evolution of the...

Dynamic and Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models have become a frequent choice of modeling methodology for complex dynamic and stochastic phenomena in different branches of economics. They are increasingly used by decision-makers to analyze various policy decisions or to generate...