A usual policy recommendation to promote sustained economic growth it to dedicate increasing resources to the investment process (i.e. high investment rates). In contrast, a well known result of neoclassical growth theory is that the only determinant of long run growth is technological progress,...

Up to the financial slump of the second quarter of 2008 commodity prices grew fast for several consecutive years in a highly volatile context. Recent commodity fluctuations have raised both policy concerns and a prolific academic debate. This paper offers a coherent theoretical and empirical...

Inflation forecasting plays a central role in monetary policy formulation. At the same time, recent international empirical evidence suggests that with the decline in inflation of recent years, the joint dynamics of this variable and its potential predictors has changed and inflation has become...

This paper analyzes the relationship between the quality of the commercial credit portfolio and diversification in the financial entities of Argentina during the period 1998-2006. To this effect, a database of the financial sector (banking and non-banking) is used, which allows to consider three...

This paper analyzes the advantages and disadvantages of corporate self-financing from de perspective of corporative finance in order to evaluate its macroeconomic consequences. Specifically, a corporate self-financing coefficient is calculated for a group of 15 countries of OECD during the...

This paper shows that a puzzling yet strong correlation exists between imports and exports. Cross-section and time-series analysis for the broadest possible country sample (159 countries over 1960-2006) attests to the robustness of this finding, even though causality is not explored in depth....

This paper aims at producing forecasts of monetary aggregates which are useful in formulating monetary policy in Argentina; in particular, forecasts that allow evaluation of alternative economic scenarios, with a 5-quarter horizon and of both public and private monetary aggregates. With that aim,...

This paper deals with a theoretical and empirical approach to analyze the selection of exchange rate/monetary regimes in emerging economies based on the “monetary space”, i.e. the framework where monetary policy should be developed. In turn, the monetary space was defined on the basis of...

This paper analyzes, from a theoretical perspective, the role of the financial system to promote growth and macroeconomic stability. It also endogenously explains the performance of the financial systems as a consequence of industrial (or sectoral) diversification. In the model, the productive...

I build a model to show that if some export costs are sunk and shared between alike destinations, the decision of a firm to enter a market is a function of its experience in a similar one. Using a rich firm-level dataset for Argentina I test this prediction and I provide evidence on the role and...