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In this papaer, we put DSGE forecasts in competition with factor forecasts. We focus on these two models since they represent nicely the two opposing forecasting philosophies. The DSGE model on the one hand has a strong theoretical economic background; the factor model on the other hand is mainly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866191
Firms protected by antidumping measures do not unequivocally benefit from them. Antidumpingprotection benefits non-exporters active on the protected market by raising their domestic sales, buthurts exporters of similar products as the protected ones. Export sales of protected firms fall byalmost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005868642
We analyze the relationship between Antidumping (AD) Protection and the productivity ofEU domestic firms in import-competing industries. For this purpose we identify a panel ofdomestic firms between 1993 and 2003 that at some point during this period are affected byAD initiations. Using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005868756
This paper derives a universal approximation result for theminimum fuzzy implication rule as well as a differentiable substitute function that allows fast optimization and function approximation with neuro-fuzzy networks.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005843729
We checked against the law of one price between urban and rural consumer price indices of goods and services in Nigeria, using data that span January 1995 to April 2024. By first testing for persistence in price indices, we found a similar pattern of persistence that is non-mean reverting in all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015213541
We propose a portfolio construction method that accounts for the regime-dependent behavior of stocks, thereby impacting their expected returns. Using a hidden Markov model (HMM) and a regime-weighted least-squares approach, we estimate forward-looking regime-conditional factors. These factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015213786
This paper makes a significant contribution to the literature on the policy trilemma by evaluating potential policy combinations that are relevant for the BRICS grouping within the context of the Impossible Trinity. Additionally, the paper introduces a new modeling approach for assessing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015214039
This paper uses a tax revenues reallocation scheme as the payment vehicle in a choice experiment to value marine restoration in the Black Sea. Two reallocation treatments are administered; one proposing to reduce current public expenditures on renewable energy projects and the other, the training...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015214339
Several semiparametric estimators recently developed in the econometrics literature are based on the rank correlation between the dependent and explanatory variables. Examples include the maximum rank correlation estimator (MRC) of Han [1987], the monotone rank estimator (MR) of Cavanagh and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015216077
We study the distributions of the LASSO, SCAD, and thresholding estimators, in finite samples and in the large-sample limit. The asymptotic distributions are derived for both the case where the estimators are tuned to perform consistent model selection and for the case where the estimators are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015216540