A typical gas sales agreement (GSA) also called a gas swing contract, is an agreement between a supplier and a purchaser for the delivery of variable daily quantities of gas, between specified minimum and maximum daily limits, over a certain number of years at a specified set of contract prices....

This paper proposes an auxiliary particle filter algorithm for inference in regime switching stochastic volatility models in which the regime state is governed by a first-order Markov chain. We proposes an ongoing updated Dirichlet distribution to estimate the transition probabilities of the...

This paper analyzes the volatility structure of commodity derivatives markets. The model encompasses stochastic volatility that may be unspanned by futures contracts. A generalized hump-shaped volatility specification is assumed that entails a finite-dimensional affine model for the commodity...

The primary purpose of this paper is to provide an in-depth analysis of a number of structurally different methods to numerically evaluate European compound option prices under Heston’s stochastic volatility dynamics. Therefore, we first outline several approaches that can be used to price...

This paperc onsiders the problem o fnumerically evaluating barrier option prices when the dynamics of the underlying are driven by stochastic volatility following the square root process of Heston (1993). We develop a method of lines approach to evaluate the price as well as the delta and gamma...

The stochastic or random nature of commodity prices plays a central role in models for valuing financial contingent claims on commodities. In this paper, by enhancing a multifactor framework which is consistent not only with the market observable forward price curve but also the volatilities and...

A compound option (the mother option) gives the holder the right, but not obligation to buy (long) or sell (short) the underlying option (the daughter option). In this paper, we demonstrate a partial differential equation (PDE) approach to pricing American-type compound options where the...

This paper considers the problem of numerically evaluating American option prices when the dynamics of the underlying are driven by both stochastic volatility following the square root process of Heston (1993), and by a Poisson jump process of the type originally introduced by Merton (1976). We...

By employing a continuous time stochastic volatility model, we analyse the dynamic relation between price returns and volatility changes in the commodity futures markets. We use an extensive daily database of gold and crude oil futures and futures options to estimate the model that is well...