We revisit the Bayesian online inference problems for the linear dynamic systems (LDS) under non- Gaussian environment. The noises can naturally be non-Gaussian (skewed and/or heavy tailed) or to accommodate spurious observations, noises can be modeled as heavy tailed. However, at the cost of...

Inspired by recent ideas on how the analysis of complex financial risks can benefit from analogies with independent research areas, we propose an unorthodox framework for mapping microfinance credit risk---a major obstacle to the sustainability of lenders outreaching to the poor. Specifically,...

In this paper we consider classes of models that have been recently developed for quantitative finance that involve modelling a highly complex multivariate, multi-attribute stochastic process known as the Limit Order Book (LOB). The LOB is the primary data structure recorded each day intra-daily...

We study the various sectors of the Bombay Stock Exchange(BSE) for a period of 8 years from April 2006 - March 2014. Using the data of daily returns of a period of eight years we make a direct model free analysis of the pattern of the sectorial indices movement and the correlations among them....

We treat a discrete-time asset allocation problem in an arbitrage-free, generically incomplete financial market, where the investor has a possibly non-concave utility function and wealth is restricted to remain non-negative. Under easily verifiable conditions, we establish the existence of...

This paper poses a few fundamental questions regarding the attributes of the volume profile of a Limit Order Books stochastic structure by taking into consideration aspects of intraday and interday statistical features, the impact of different exchange features and the impact of market...

We compute a sharp small-time estimate for implied volatility under a general uncorrelated local-stochastic volatility model, with mild linear growth conditions on the drift and vol-of-vol. For this we use the Bellaiche\cite{Bel81} heat kernel expansion combined with Laplace's method to...

We study optimal buying and selling strategies in target zone models. In these models the price is modeled by a diffusion process which is reflected at one or more barriers. Such models arise for example when a currency exchange rate is kept above a certain threshold due to central bank...

In the first part of the paper, we study reflected backward stochastic differential equations (RBSDEs) with lower obstacle which is assumed to be right upper-semicontinuous but not necessarily right-continuous. We prove existence and uniqueness of the solutions to such RBSDEs in appropriate...

We use probabilistic methods to characterise the optimal exercise region of a swing option with put payoff, $n\ge 2$ exercise rights and finite maturity, when the underlying asset's dynamics is specified according to the Black & Scholes model. The optimal exercise region of each right (except...