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The paper proposes a self-exciting asset pricing model that takes into account co-jumps between prices and volatility and self-exciting jump clustering. We employ a Bayesian learning approach to implement real time sequential analysis. We find evidence of self-exciting jump clustering since the...
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In state-space models, parameter learning is practically difficult and is still an open issue. This paper proposes an efficient simulation-based parameter learning method. First, the approach breaks up the interdependence of the hidden states and the static parameters by marginalizing out the...
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In dynamic asset pricing models, when the model structure becomes complex and derivatives data are introduced in estimation, traditional Bayesian MCMC methods converge slowly, are difficult to design efficient proposals for parameters, and have large computational cost. We propose a two-stage...
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We propose a likelihood-based Bayesian method that exploits up-to-date sequential Monte Carlo methods to efficiently estimate long-run risk models in which the conditional variance of consumption growth follows either an autoregressive (AR) process or an autoregressive gamma (ARG) process. We...
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