Immigrants during two global centuries : rising quantity and falling quality -- A framework -- Looking at local labor markets -- Immigration shocks and labor market absorption : two modern examples -- Immigrants, wages, and inequality : the global centuries compared -- Policy and the demise of...

This paper revisits demographic dividend issues after almost 2 decades of debate. In 1998, David Bloom and I used a convergence model to estimate the impact of demographic-transition-driven age structure effects and calculated what the literature has come to call the “demographic dividend.”...