This article aims to remedy a common misinterpretation of insignificant coefficient estimates and presents a method to find hidden information in insignificant effects. I first discuss possible reasons for insignificant effects. I then use two distinct research areas as case studies: (1) how...

In light of the current economic crisis, we estimate hazard models of divorce to determine how state and national unemployment rates affect the likelihood of divorce. With 89,340 observations over the 1978-2006 period for 7633 couples from the 1979 NLSY, we find mixed evidence on whether...

This report contends that most military-manpower research that aims to estimate causal effects suffers from flaws that render the research invalid. I discuss the objectives and ethics of research, and I give a low-math quick guide to the main pitfalls of research, While I do not test the claim...

"In light of the current economic crisis, we estimate hazard models of divorce to determine how state and national unemployment rates affect the likelihood of divorce. With 89,340 observations over the 1978-2006 period for 7633 couples from the 1979 NLSY, we find mixed evidence on whether...