Frontmatter -- Contents -- Preface to the Paperback Edition -- Preface to the First Edition -- Introduction -- Chapter 1. The Great Moderation -- Introduction -- Birth: Calm after the Storms -- Life: The Great Risk Shift -- Death: The Dissenters and Their Vindication -- Reanimation: A Global...

This paper shows that, for CEU preferences, the axioms consquentialism, state independenceand conditional certainty equivalent consistency under updating characterise a family of capacities,called Genralised Neo-Additive Capacities (GNAC). This family contains as special casesamong others...

The concept of a non-extreme-outcome-additive capacity (neo-additive capacity ) is introduced.Neo-additive capacitiesmodel optimistic and pessimistic attitudes towards uncertaintyas observed in many experimental studies. Moreover, neo-additive capacities canbe applied easily in economic...

We confront two common objections to Harsanyi's impartial observer theorem; one to do with 'fairness', and the other to do with different individuals' having different attitudes toward risk. Both these objections can be accommodated if we drop the reduction axiom; in particular, if we...