Showing 1 - 10 of 523
In this paper we consider the issue of testing a time series for a unit root in the possible presence of a break in a linear deterministic trend at some unknown point in the series. We propose a break fraction estimator which, in the presence of a break in trend, is consistent for the true break...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497820
In this paper we focus on two major issues that surround testing for a unit root in practice, namely: (i) uncertainty as to whether or not a linear deterministic trend is present in the data, and (ii) uncertainty as to whether the initial condition of the process is (asymptotically) negligible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497825
In this paper we analyse the impact of non-stationary volatility on the recently developed unit root tests which allow for a possible break in trend occurring at an unknown point in the sample, considered in Harris, Harvey, Leybourne and Taylor (2009) [HHLT]. HHLT's analysis hinges on a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497827
In this paper we consider the issue of testing for a unit root when it is uncertain as to whether or not a linear deterministic trend is present in the data. The Dickey-Fuller-type tests of Elliott, Rothenberg and Stock (1996), based on (local) GLS detrended (demeaned) data, are near...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497828
In practice a degree of uncertainty will always exist concerning what specification to adopt for the deterministic trend function when running unit root tests. While most macroeconomic time series appear to display an underlying trend, it is often far from clear whether this component is best...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497834
This paper examines the behaviour of some recently proposed robust (to the order of integration of the data) tests for the presence of a deterministic linear trend in a univariate times series in situations where the magnitude of the initial condition of the series is non-negligible. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497835
In this paper we develop a simple test procedure for a linear trend which does not require knowledge of the form of serial correlation in the data, is robust to strong serial correlation, and has a standard normal limiting null distribution under either I(0) or I(1) shocks. In contrast to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497836
We provide a joint treatment of two major problems that surround testing for a unit root in practice, namely uncertainty as to whether or not a linear deterministic trend is present in the data, and uncertainty as to whether the initial condition of the process is (asymptotically) negligible or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497837
In this paper we propose tests for the null hypothesis that a time series process displays a constant level against the alternative that it displays (possibly) multiple changes in level. Our proposed tests are based on functions of appropriately standardized sequences of the differences between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008516775
In this paper we propose tests for the null hypothesis that a time series process displays a constant level against the alternative that it displays (possibly) multiple changes in level. Our proposed tests are based on functions of appropriately standardised sequences of the differences between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008516776