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Relying on conditional entropy and on the notion of information transfer, we investigate price relationships in the most important commodity futures market: the American crude oil market. We first show that the information shared by futures contracts with different delivery dates increases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096669
After having been considered as a public good during decades, electricity is now regarded as a tradable commodity in most developed countries. Since they were launched twenty years ago, electricity derivative markets exhibit sustained rises in their transaction volumes. Even if these markets are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099443
This review article describes the main contributions in the literature on term structure models of commodity prices. The first section is devoted to the theoretical analysis of the term structure. It confines itself primarily to the traditional theories of commodity prices and to their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166285
This article analyzes long-term dynamic hedging strategies relying on term structure models of commodity prices and proposes a new way to calibrate the models which takes into account the error associated with the hedge ratios. Different strategies, with maturities up to seven years, are tested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166328
In this article we present an introduction to various Filtering algorithms and some of their applications to the world of Quantitative Finance. We shall first mention the fundamental case of Gaussian noises where we obtain the well-known Kalman Filter. Because of common nonlinearities, we will...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166352
This article uses graph theory to provide novel evidence regarding market integration, a favorable condition for systemic risk to appear in. Relying on daily futures returns covering a 12-year period, we examine cross- and intermarket linkages, both within the commodity complex and between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166411
This article presents an empirical study of thirteen derivative markets for commodity and financial assets. This paper goes beyond statistical analysis by including the maturity as a variable for futures contracts’s daily returns, from 1998 to 2010 and for delivery dates up to 120 months. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166443
Since the end of the eighties, the European electric sector has been progressively liberalised. This phenomenon has given a growing part to the financial markets in the valuation and the control of the firm's activities. With the privatisation, the management's efficiency has become the main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166470
We examine the impact, on commodity derivative markets, of two financial crises: the Subprime crisis and the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers. These crises are "external" for commodity markets: they appeared in the financial sphere. Still, because now commodity markets are highly integrated,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011205310
It is common to assert, in the literature on commodity derivative markets, that the behavior of futures prices is characterized by the "Samuelson Hypothesis": there is a decreasing pattern of volatilities along the prices curve. Despite some debates about statistical measurements, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790033