An important question for central banks is how they should report the uncertainty of their forecasts. This paper … discusses a way in which a central bank could report the uncertainty of its forecasts in a world in which it used a single …

An important question for central banks is how they should report the uncertainty of their forecasts. This paper … discusses a way in which a central bank could report the uncertainty of its forecasts in a world in which it used a single …

food crises possible. This paper develops a predictive, statistical framework to identify drivers of food insecurity risk … with simulation capabilities for scenario analyses, risk assessment and forecasting purposes. It utilizes a panel vector …

describe hydrological processes, SWAP (Soil, Water, Atmosphere and Plant model) has been successfully used under several ….g. perennial crops, is a new application. This report shows a SWAP application to a mature coffee crop over one-production cycle … annual deep drainage Q=1019mm obtained by SWAP was within 99% of the value determined by the climatologic water balance of …