Delivered at the Business Today "Weathering the Storm: The Challenges and Opportunities of A Global Slowdown" Conference, New York City, November 22, 2009

Regional Economic Summit, Evansville, Ind., Nov. 20, 2008

We study the welfare cost of inflation in a general equilibrium life cycle model with growth, costly financial intermediation, and taxes on nominal quantities. We find a stationary equilibrium of the model matches a wide variety of facts about the postwar U.S. economy. We then calculate that the...

We study a simple, microfounded macroeconomic system in which the monetary authority employs a Taylor-type policy rule. We analyze situations in which the self-confirming equilibrium is unique and learnable according to Bullard and Mitra (2002). We explore the prospects for the use of ‘large...

This survey paper discusses the policy implications that can be expected from the recent research on nonlinearity and chaos in economic models. Expected policy implications are interpreted as a driving force behind the recent proliferation of research in this area. In general, it appears that no...

We study a model of economic growth and development with a threshold externality. The model has one steady state with a low and stagnant level of income per capita and another steady state with a high and growing level of income per capita. Both of these steady states are locally stable under...

2008 Annual Economic Outlook Conference, Middle Tennessee State University, Murfreesboro, Tenn., Sept. 26, 2008

Memphis, Tenn., Oct. 14, 2008

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard discussed factors that are weighing on the decision to begin normalizing U.S. monetary policy and the recent removal of the word “patient” from the FOMC statement, during the 24th Annual Hyman P. Minsky Conference, in Washington, D.C. He said that now...