This paper presents estimates of key preference parameters of the Epstein and Zin (1989, 1991) and Weil (1989) (EZW) recursive utility model, evaluates the model’s ability to fit asset return data relative to other asset pricing models, and investigates the implications of such estimates for...

Equilibrium credit rationing, in the sense of Stiglitz and Weiss (1981), implies the borrower faces an infinite marginal cost of funds. Infinitessimily delaying the project to accumulate more wealth is therefore advantageous to the borrower. As a result, the well-known conditions for credit...

This paper is an empirical investigation into the duration of exchange rate episodes characterized by the absence of speculative attacks. We estimate a duration model for OECD countries during the 1970-1997 period. Specifically, we use semi-parametric methods to estimate model with unrestricted...

This paper proposes and tests an investment-flow based explanation for three empirical findings on return predictability - the persistence of mutual fund performance, the 'smart money' effect, and stock price momentum. Since mutual fund managers generally scale up or down their existing...

This paper presents a model of the interaction of a company’s financial and real investment decisions with the financing of its defined benefit pension plan. The pension plan deficit is a debt of the company, with explicit funding requirements and priority in the event of company insolvency....

As a result of population ageing and declining fertility, the UK state pension system is unlikely to remain viable without a steady inflow of young immigrant workers from abroad. Using plausible assumptions we show that up to 500,000 immigrant workers pa. will be needed to save the state pension...

We construct explicitly a bridge process whose distribution, in its own filtration, is the same as the difference of two independent Poisson processes with the same intensity and its time $1$ value satisfies a specific constraint. This construction allows us to show the existence of...

We investigate a class of estimators for Linear Regression models where the dependent variable is subject to bid-ask censoring. Our estimation method is based on a definition of error that is zero when the predictor lies between the actual bid price and ask price, and linear outside this range....

Multi-Criteria Portfolio Analysis (MCPA) models have been extensively employed as an effective means to allocate scarce resources for investment in projects or services, considering different organisational areas and balancing costs, benefits & risks. However, structuring this type of models in...

Despite mounting empirical evidence to the contrary, the literature on predictability of stock returns almost uniformly assumes a time-invariant relationship between state variables and returns. In this paper we propose a two-stage approach for forecasting of financial return series that are...