The sieve bootstrap is a resampling technique that uses autoregressive approximations of order p to model invertible linear time series, where p is allowed to go to infinity with sample size n. The asymptotic properties of sieve bootstrap prediction intervals for stationary invertible linear...

Recently, there has been an upsurge of interest in the possibility of confusing long memory and structural changes in level. Many studies have shown that when a stationary short memory process is contaminated by level shifts the estimate of the fractional differencing parameter is biased away...

Recently, there has been an upsurge of interest on the possibility of confusing long memory and structural changes in level. Many studies have shown that when a stationary short memory process is contaminated by level shifts the estimate of the fractional differencing parameter is biased away...

This paper utilises “a class test for fractional integration” associated with the seminal contribution of Hinich and Chong (2007) to appraise the possibility that South African Development Community (SADC) real exchange rates can be treated as long memory processes. The justification for...

In an economy with multiple sources of risk, the short-term interest rate does not capture all the information that determines the conditional distribution of bond yields. This is also true for path-dependent term structure models. In either case, the current short rate level is not a sufficient...

We establish the validity of an Edgeworth expansion to the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameter of a stationary, Gaussian, strongly dependent process. The result covers ARFIMA type models, including fractional Gaussian noise. The method of proof consists of three...

In an economy with multiple sources of risk, the short-term interest rate does not capture all the information that determines the conditional distribution of bond yields. This is also true for path-dependent term structure models. In either case, the current short rate level is not a sufficient...

This paper shows that the behaviour of an otherwise conventional model of real business cycles (RBCs) in which heterogeneous individual firms are subject to temporary technology shocks will be characterised by long memory and nonlinearity. We start from microfoundations, using a standard RBC...

This paper considers a fractional noise model in continuous time and examines the asymptotic properties of a feasible frequency domain maximum likelihood estimator of the long memory parameter. The feasible estimator is one that maximises an approximation to the likelihood function (the...

We consider the estimation of the location of the pole and memory parameter, ?0 and a respectively, of covariance stationary linear processes whose spectral density function f(?) satisfies f(?) ~ C|? - ?0|-a in a neighbourhood of ?0. We define a consistent estimator of ?0 and derive its limit...