In this paper we survey recent works on rational inattention (RI) in macroeconomics within the dynamic linear-quadratic-Gaussian (LQG) setting. We first discuss how RI affects consumption smoothness and sensitivity, precautionary savings, asset pricing, portfolio choice, and aggregate...

The country’s small and open economy is vulnerable to both internal and external shocks. Is it therefore important for policy makers to have timely forecasts on the movement of the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), whether it will increase or decrease in the current quarter, to be able...

This policy note tries to understand the slow job recovery in the United States as the economy exists a recession. We show that the time-varying Okun coefficient has declined since the early 1990s, thus being consistent with the observation of jobless growth. This finding contrasts with other...

This paper quantitatively investigates the scope for improving welfare by making aspects of the unemployment insurance (UI) system depend on the state of the business cycle. A particular focus is the Canadian system of "Employment Insurance" (EI), which is designed in such a way that the...

This paper presents interesting correlations which exist between a model of long-wave economic activity and crisis in the United States – “the Political Economy wave” – and the structure of the rings of Saturn, one of the most confounding structures known to science. At the present time...

In the physical world the “identity” of something is taken generally as a given; an apple is an apple; this apple is this apple. When dealing with planetary structure and extension into space, however, the problem of the planet’s “identity” in the surrounding cosmos is writ large. What...

The present study re-examines whether the direction of connection between inflation varies over time. To this end, we have used an optimal GARCH model among various extensions to determine an appropriate measure of inflation uncertainty and a nonlinear causality test approximated by Taylor...

This paper considers the location-scale quantile autoregression in which the location and scale parameters are subject to regime shifts. The regime changes are determined by the outcome of a latent, discrete-state Markov process. The new method provides direct inference and estimate for...

Frequency mismatch has been a problem in econometrics for quite some time. Many monthly economic and financial indicators are normally aggregated to match quarterly macroeconomic series such as GDP when analysed in a statistical model. However, temporal aggregation, although widely accepted, is...

There are several mechanisms that can account for short-run business cycle transmission. International trade is probably the major vehicle, and it forms a direct channel through which income and price shocks may be transmitted. Capital flows provide a second mechanism which is most likely to be...