Consider a simple change-point model with a binary regressor. We examine the consistency of the change-point estimator when the regressor is subject to misclassification. It is found that the time of change can always be identified. Further, special cases where the structural parameters can also...

This paper investigates the duration dependence of the US stock market cycles. A new classification method for bull and bear market regimes based on the crossing of the market index and its moving average is proposed. We show evidence of duration dependence in whole cycles. The half cycles,...