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In this paper we develop a multi-factor model for the joint dynamics of related commodity spot prices in continuous time. We contribute to the existing literature by simultaneously considering various commodity markets in a single, consistent model. In an application we show the economic...
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Price movements in many commodity markets exhibit significant seasonal patterns. However, given an observed futures price, a deterministic seasonal component at the price level is not relevant for the pricing of commodity options. In contrast, this is not true for the seasonal pattern observed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010595274
This article empirically investigates whether continuous time pricing models are able to help reveal mispriced commodity futures contracts. Mispricings are identified based on the difference between model and observed prices, using four different pricing models for four different commodity...
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In this paper, we develop a continuous time factor model of commodity prices that allows for higher-order autoregressive and moving average components. We document the need for these components by analyzing the convenience yield's time series dynamics. The model we propose is analytically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008864547
In this article we investigate whether contagion is present in the banking sector by analysing how banks are affected by negative earnings surprises from their competitors. The banking sector is of crucial importance for the economy and, thus, highly regulated on an individual bank level....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008674781
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Covered bonds are a promising alternative for prime mortgage securitization. In this paper, we explore risk premia in the covered bond market and particularly investigate whether and how credit risk is priced. In extant literature, yield spreads between high-quality covered bonds and government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010636023
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