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Analysing Vietnam's rice export policy and recent export ban in the context of rising food prices, this study combines insights from a regionally-disaggregated or 'bottom-up' CGE model and a micro-simulation using household data. Three main conclusions are drawn. First, although there is little...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014161247
The Asia-Pacific gas market is the biggest and fastest growing LNG market in the world. In the past is has been dominated by the JCC oil linked pricing mechanism. However, given the recent challenges facing this mechanism, especially since 2008, there is a growing concern that the JCC pricing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014140956
Computable general equilibrium (CGE) models are a standard tool for policy analysis and forecasts of economic growth. Unfortunately, due to computational constraints, many CGE models are dimensionally small, aggregating countries into an often limited set of regions or using assumptions such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832817
Further links to the international LNG market implies that eastern Australia's LNG export revenue will also depend on future LNG prices in the region. This paper provides the estimation of eastern Australia's export revenue over the period of 2015-30 for different alternative LNG expansions,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044312
Rapid LNG trade in the eastern region will contribute a significant source of export revenue, or roughly A$20-30 billion per year over the next five years. However, along with a significant gain from LNG trade, major domestic gas users will also face higher gas prices, less security over long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044379
A 'bottom up' regional Computable General Equilibrium Model (CGE) model for Vietnam is constructed for 28 commodities and 8 regions (using a GSO input-output table for 2005). The model is used to analyze the recent dramatic increases in the world price of rice on the regional economy of Vietnam,...
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