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In a decision problem under uncertainty, a decision maker considers a set of alternative actions whose consequences depend on uncertain factors outside his control. Following Luce and Raiffa (1957), we adopt a natural representation of such situation that takes as primitives a set of conceivable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010856755
An action is justi?fiable if it is a best reply to some belief. We show that higher ambiguity aversion enlarges the set of justifi?able actions.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010936515
We propose to bring together two conceptually complementary ideas: (1) selfconfi?rming equilibrium (SCE): at a rest point of learning dynamics in a game played recurrently, agents best respond to confi?rmed beliefs, i.e. beliefs consistent with the evidence they accumulate, and (2) ambiguity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009393236
Given a functional defi?ned on a nonempty subset of an Archimedean Riesz space with unit, necessary and sufficient conditions are obtained for the existence of a (convex or concave) niveloid that extends the functional to the entire space. In the language of mathematical fi?nance, this problem...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010856756
We consider decision makers that know that payo¤ relevant observations are generated by a process that belongs to a given class M, as postulated in Wald [33]. We incorporate this Waldean piece of objective information within an otherwise subjective setting a la Savage [30] and show that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643258
We give a general integral representation theorem (Theorem 6) for nonadditive functionals de?ned on an Archimedean Riesz space X with order unit. Additivity is replaced by a weak form of modularity, or equivalently dual comonotonic additivity, and integrals are Choquet integrals. Those integrals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547626
Starting with the seminal paper of Gilboa and Schmeidler (1989) an analogy between the maxmin approach of Decision Theory under Ambiguity and the minimax approach of Robust Statistics -- e.g. Huber and Strassen (1973) -- has been hinted at. The present paper formally clarifies this relation by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008860759
We establish integral representation results for suitably pointwise continuous and comonotonic addi- tive functionals of bounded variation de?ned on Stone lattices.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642131
We extend the Fundamental Theorem of Finance and the Pricing Rule Representation Theorem of Cox and Ross (see Ross [35] and [37] and Cox and Ross [9]) to the case in which market frictions are aken into account but the Put-Call Parity is still assumed to hold. In turn, we obtain a representation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010678503
We analyze a notion of self-confirming equilibrium with non-neutral ambiguity attitudes that generalizes the traditional concept. We show that the set of equilibria expands as ambiguity aversion increases. The intuition is quite simple: by playing the same strategy in a stationary environment,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011156810