This paper considers estimation and inference in panel vector autoregressions (PVARs) with fixed effects when the time dimension of the panel is finite, and the cross-sectional dimension is large. A Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimator based on a transformed likelihood function is proposed and...

In this paper I investigate the sustainability of public debt in Latin- and South-American economies. To this purpose, a Panel VECM framework is proposed that accounts both for heterogeneities and homogenities of the debt dynamics in these countries, as well as takes account of the...

This article considers the consequences of explicitly allowing for stochastic technological progress and stochastic labor input in the discrete-time Solow-Swan and AK growth models. It shows that the capital-output ratio, but not output per capita, is ergodic irrespective of whether there is a...

In this paper we re-consider the effects of monetary policy shocks on exchange rates and forward premia. In the recent empirical literature, these effects have been predominantly described as puzzling, in that they would include delayed overshooting of the exchange rate as well as persistent...

In this paper we revisit medium- to long-run exchange rate determination, focusing on the role of international investment positions. To do so, we develop a new econometric framework accounting for conditional long-run homogeneity in heterogeneous dynamic panel data models. In particular, in our...

This paper aims to develop a model of trading in the stock market that can shed light on the sources of several widely reported empirical features of stock markets, including occasional predictability of excess returns using public information, 'excess volatility', and predictability of trading...

This paper considers the cross-sectional aggregation of nonlinear decision rules derived from intertemporal optimization problems under uncertainty, examining in particular (i) the role of aggregation across decision rules of heterogeneous decision makers as a source of variation and persistence...

The authors consider the solution of multivariate linear rational expectations models in the presence of heterogeneous information and social interactions. To overcome the 'infinite regress in expectations' problem that arises in the solution of these models, we assume that agents' expectations...