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Scenarios, probability and possible futures

Ha-Duong, Minh - HAL - 2005

. It offers an alternative between forecasts and scenarios, which are both problematic. Long range planning using forecasts … with precise probabilities is problematic because it tends to suggests a false degree of precision. Using scenarios without … any quantified uncertainty levels is problematic because it may lead to unjustified attention to the extreme scenarios …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008791955

Technology roadmap through fuzzy cognitive map-based scenarios : the case of wind energy sector of a developing country

Amer, Muhammad; Daim, Tugrul U.; Jetter, Antonie - In: Technology analysis & strategic management 28 (2016) 2, pp. 131-155

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437728

Implementing Equitable Water Allocation in Transboundary Catchments: The Case of River Nestos/Mesta

Kampragou, Eleni; Eleftheriadou, Eleni; Mylopoulos, Yannis - In: Water Resources Management 21 (2007) 5, pp. 909-918

Border areas comprise inevitably problematic fields especially when the countries are bound to share common water resources. The conflict potential is rather high and quite often countries are directed to the negotiation table in order to form tranboundary agreements. These agreements aim to the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010847377

Sediment Delivery Assessment for a Transboundary Mediterranean Catchment: The Example of Nestos River Catchment

Zarris, Demetris; Vlastara, Marianna; Panagoulia, Dionysia - In: Water Resources Management 25 (2011) 14, pp. 3785-3803

Nestos River flows through Bulgaria and Greece and discharges into the North Aegean Sea. Its total catchment area is around 6,200 km<Superscript>2</Superscript>, while the mean annual precipitation and runoff are 680 mm and 40 m<Superscript>3</Superscript>/s, respectively. The Hellenic part of the catchment has undergone a substantial...</superscript></superscript>

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010997291

Hydrology and Nutrient Enrichment at Two Coastal Lagoon Systems in Northern Greece

Sylaios, Georgios; Theocharis, Vassiliki - In: Water Resources Management 16 (2002) 3, pp. 171-196

The lagoons of N.E. Greece, located on the western side of NestosRiver, and of N.W. Greece, located at the lower reaches of Kalamas River, are among the most important shallow, semi-enclosed ecosystems in Northern Greece. The temporal variability of nutrients at both lagoonal systems shows the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010794645

Institutions and forest management: A case study from Swat, Pakistan

Kruseman, Gideon; Pellegrini, Lorenzo - 2008

Deforestation in the North western part of Pakistan is a long standing problem. The Forestry Department, as formal managers of the forest resources, has been undergoing a long reform process aimed at improving its performance. This reform process has not resulted in less deforestation. From the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270959

Soil and Water Assessment Tool: Historical Development, Applications, and Future Research Directions, The

Gassman, Philip W.; Reyes, Manuel R.; Green, Colleen H.; … - Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD), … - 2007

The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model is a continuation of nearly 30 years of modeling efforts conducted by … the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), Agricultural Research Service. SWAT has gained international acceptance as a … robust interdisciplinary watershed modeling tool, as evidenced by international SWAT conferences, hundreds of SWAT …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005612621

The potential of Russia to increase its wheat production through cropland expansion and intensification

Schierhorn, Florian - 2015

This dissertation addresses the primary objective to systematically quantify untapped agricultural potentials in European Russia, where widespread abandoned agricultural lands and large yield gaps co-exist. We developed a spatial allocation model to produce annual cropland and cropland...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013174216

Impacts of Climate Change on Stream Flow in the Upper Mississippi River Basin: A Regional Climate Model Perspective, The

Jha, Manoj; Pan, Zaitao; Takle, Eugene S.; Gu, Roy - Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD), … - 2003

climate model (RCM) coupled with a hydrologic model, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). The SWAT model was calibrated …. The combined performance of the SWAT and RCM was examined using observed weather data as a lateral boundary condition in … the RCM. The SWAT and RCM were found to perform well, especially on an annual basis. The potential impacts of climate …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005029677

Optimal Placement of Conservation Practices Using Genetic Algorithm with SWAT

Jha, Manoj; Rabotyagov, Sergey; Gassman, Philip W. - Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD), … - 2009

land-use scenarios. To address this problem, we combine the tools of evolutionary algorithm with the Soil and Water … Assessment Tool (SWAT) model and cost data to develop a trade-off frontier of least cost of achieving nutrient reductions and the …,400 km2 of an intensive agriculture region in west-central Iowa. Applying genetic algorithm to the calibrated SWAT modeling …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005029678