For a number of statistical applications subjective estimates of some distributional parameters - or even complete densities are needed. The literature agrees that it is wise behaviour to ask only for some quantiles of the distribution; from these, the desired quantities are extracted. Quite a...

We formulate a general representation of points z 2 <n

This paper provides a selective overview of nonlinear exchange rate models recently proposed in the literature and assesses their contribution to understanding exchange rate behavior. Two key questions are examined. The first question is whether nonlinear autoregressive models of real exchange...

Following record low interest rates and fast depreciating U.S. dollar, crude oil prices became under rising pressure and seemed boundless. Oil price process parameters changed drastically in 2003M5-2007M10 toward consistently rising prices. Short-term forecasting would imply persistence of...