Gallup rating, obtained in June of the election year, as a significant indicator for forecasting the Presidential election … on voting behavior in U.S. Presidential elections and develop a suitable regression model for predicting the 2012 U …

-Borok (1996) have investigated the significance of non-economic variables in forecasting the U.S election. This paper investigates … incumbent using regression model. The paper also employs logit and probit models to predict the probability of win for the … and its policies, which in turn affects the voting decision. The proposed factor regression model forecasts that the …

-Borok (1996) have investigated the significance of non-economic variables in forecasting the U.S election. This paper investigates … incumbent using regression model. The paper also employs logit and probit models to predict the probability of win for the … and its policies, which in turn affects the voting decision. The proposed factor regression model forecasts that the …

using these models in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise compared with the forecasts obtained based on the usual linear …

This paper proposes a unifying theory of forecasting in the form of a Golden Rule of Forecasting. The Golden Rule is to … proliferation of big data have led forecasters to violate the Golden Rule. As a result, despite major advances in forecasting … methods, evidence that forecasting practice has improved over the past half-century is lacking. …

from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation …, Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While useful in developing models of forecasting inflation …

, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to …

display the lowest correlation with the target variable. Given that violations of efficiency are usual in the forecasting …

This draft is a summary of the paper entitled: Forecasting Fuel Prices with the Chilean Exchange Rate. In that paper we …