Original versions of the included papers were written by an extensive team of authors for the meeting of the Bank Board with experts. The aim of this meeting was to assess the ten-year experience with inflation targeting and to contribute to its improvements in the forthcoming years. Following...

When the contribution of capital to aggregate production is to be quantified, a measure of capital services should be used. In this paper I present two experimental measures of capital services for the Czech economy using the OECD methodology. These measures use information on the structure of...

This article describes a method for assessing the position of the Czech economy in the financial cycle. On the basis of selected variables tracking risks in the financial sector and the real economy, we construct an indicator aimed at signalling the emergence of future problems in timely...

From a general perspective, collateralisation of exposures is a key tool for mitigating the idiosyncratic risks of financial institutions. If, however, the use of collateral in the financial system exceeds a certain threshold it can pose a risk to financial stability. Collateral use is...

Developments in the commercial property market are an important factor affecting financial stability, especially given their effect on the probability of default of non-financial corporations. This article analyses the development of the office property markets in five central European countries...

In this article we simulate how much the capital of a parent bank must be increased above the minimum capital requirement applying to the parent alone as a result of a requirement being imposed on the banking group as a whole, and how the probability of failure of a subsidiary and the group...

Macroeconomic forecasters are often criticized for a lack of transparency when presenting their forecasts. To deter such criticism, the transparency of the forecasting process should be enhanced by tracing and explaining the effects of data revisions and expert judgment updates on variations in...