We consider the possibility of estimating a Dickey-Fuller regression, constraining the autoregressive parameter to be at most one, and imposing prior knowledge of the sign of the drift parameter. ...

In this paper we introduce a new test of the null hypothesis of nocointegration between a pair of time series. For a very simple generating model, ourtest compares favourably with the Engle-Granger/Dickey-Fuller test and the Johansentrace test. Indeed, shortcomings of the former motivated the...

We explore the extension of James-Stein type estimators in a direction that enables them topreserve their superiority when the sample size goes to infinity. Instead of shrinking a base estimatortowards a fixed point, we shrink it towards a data-dependent point. We provide an analytic expression...

Sharpe style regression has become a widespread analytic tool in the financial community. Thestyle regression allows one to investigate such interesting issues as style composition, style sensitivity, andstyle change over time. All previous methods to obtain the distribution and confidence...

We present in this paper the asymptotic properties of two-stage quantile regressionestimators. These results permit valid inferences in structural models estimated using quantileregressions, in which the possible endogeneity of some explanatory variables is treated viaancilliary predictive...

It is known that Dickey-Fuller tests can lead to spurious rejections of the unit root nullhypothesis when the true generating process is difference-stationary with a break.Suppose now that an unsuccessful attempt is made to allow for a break, either throughmisplaced dummy variables or through...

This paper proposes methods for estimation and inference in multivariate, multi-quantile models. The theory can simultaneously accommodate models with multiple random variables, multiple confidence levels, and multiple lags of the associated quantiles. The proposed framework can be conveniently...

We show that historical volatility from high frequency returns outperforms implied volatility when standardized returns by historical volatility tends to be normally distributed. For the FTSE 100 futures, we find that historical volatility using high frequency returns outperforms implied...

In this paper we study how the Huber estimator can be adapted to the presence of endogeneity in a two stage equations setting similar to that of 2SLS. We propose an estimation procedure that is at the same time relatively (i) simple, (ii) robust and (iii) efficient. Moreover, we deal with the...