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business-cycle state in the target year with quarterly information about its state in the forecasting period, we find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010487892
business-cycle state in the target year with quarterly information about its state in the forecasting period, we find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486869
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746905
aimed at improving the current tools used for forecasting and analysing the economy of the area. Some key data, such as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003485
The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is one of the key variables to which economists pay considerable attention for assessing US economic activities, particularly, business conditions in the manufacturing sector. Although the PMI has been used to assess the US economy, there is hardly any...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278770
and standard empirical benchmarks. The design is aligned to its role as workhorse model in the context of the forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142159
The paper presents the Version 2000 of the Romanian macromodel (elaborated by the author). For the period 2003-2010, two scenarios have been elaborated. The first, named “Desirable” incorporates the main lines of the Strategy for integration of Romania into European Union. The second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258433
This paper presents the main improvements carried out to the macroeconometric model MZE since its creation in 2003. We have back-calculated the series over the period 1980-1995, in order to make the model more stable. To our knowledge, this paper is the first application of Kllians (1998) method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009364398
Fiscal policy constitutes a key tool for business cycle stabilisation next to monetary policy. In this context, having a well-suited macroeconomic model for analysing fiscal policy at a central bank is of primary importance. This paper documents the fiscal block of the ECB-BASE, which is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374590
and standard empirical benchmarks. The design is aligned to its role as workhorse model in the context of the forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012098167