The present paper provides a new explanation for the dynamics of exchange rates based on conventions that prevail among market participants. The model relies on a two states Markov switching framework: a bull state and a bear state. In the bull state, agents are optimistic and put more weight on...

The present paper provides a new explanation for the dynamics of exchange rates based on conventions that prevail among market participants. The model relies on a two states Markov switching framework: a bull state and a bear state. In the bull state, agents are optimistic and put more weight on...

The present article provides an unorthodox model exchange rate dynamics based on conventions that prevail among market participants. We build a theoretical model that highlights the mechanisms underlying the formation of market conventions. We then test this model empirically on the euro/dollar...

In this paper, we propose an arbitrage-free international macro-finance model that links the exchange rate dynamics to macroeconomic fundamentals. Jointly using data on exchange rates, yields of zero-coupon bonds, and macroeconomic variables of the US and the Euro area, we find a close link...

This paper develops a model of exchange rate dynamics that takes into account positions in foreign and domestic equities in addition to “standard” short-term riskless securities. The modeling of cross-country stock holdings is motivated by evidence that a large and ever-increasing proportion...

This paper investigates the dynamic interrelationship between exchange rate changes and stock market performance in eleven emerging markets and five developed markets. It examines the nature of information transmission across asset classes and countries in order to understand how shocks are...

The international diversification of the relatively illiquid portfolios of financial institutions points out two questions: first, the basic advantages and methodology of exchange risk hedging; second, the relevance of centralized balance sheet management. This document answers these questions...

During a crisis, developing countries regret having issued dollar denominated debt because they have to pay more when they have less. Ex ante, however, they may be worse off issuing local currency debt because the equilibrium interest rate might rise, making it more expensive for them to borrow....

This paper aims to extend the existing literature on foreign exchange rate risk pricing. Unlike the existing studies on Canada, we use six alternative bilateral and one multilateral exchange rate proxies. Furthermore, using both a two-factor and a three-factor capital asset pricing model (CAPM),...