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market volatility. To address endogeneity concerns, we propose various identification strategies, instrumenting uncertainty … with world shocks to volatility and with natural disasters, political coups and revolutions. Across all specifications, we …
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Recent research suggests that uncertainty has detrimental long-run effects on output. We provide empirical evidence that this is not always the case. We show that uncertainty can have positive long-run effects on output when an uncertainty shock leads to an exchange rate depreciation and...
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As a companion piece to the Board paper on Structural Reforms and Macroeconomic Performance: Initial Considerations for the Fund, this paper presents a selection of case studies on the structural reform experiences of member countries. These papers update the Board on work since the Triennial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014408645
market volatility. To identify causality, we exploit exogenous differential variation in countries' exposure to foreign … volatility shocks due to predetermined and time‐invariant bilateral characteristics. Across all specifications, we find that … stock market volatility has a positive and significant effect on the adoption of reforms. This result is robust to the …
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