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flows, and examines its incremental role in explaining stock return volatility. We suggest that “other information” contains … timely basis than dividends or earnings. The link between “other information” and volatility can be derived from a … Ohlson's (1995) linear information dynamics. Using standardized regressions we find volatility increases when current “other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075116
with analyst forecast revisions. First, the market does not make a sufficient distinction between revisions that provide …. Finally, a substantial portion of the delayed price adjustment occurs around subsequent earnings-announcement and forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014093099
' forecast error as a proxy for analysts' optimism, we find that there is a positive association between analysts' optimism and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858942
We examine article, author and firm characteristics of investment articles published by non-professional analysts on the social media investment platform Seeking Alpha from 2006 to 2020 leading to visible market value changes. We show that there are differences between articles followed by stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290160
This paper examines whether textual management forecast commonalities that arise in a global crisis setting relate to … ex post forecast accuracy, and whether subsequent analyst revisions confirm the credibility relevance of these … those periods serve as catalysts for creating measures to assess management forecast credibility. After arguing that sales …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230102
This paper focuses on the investment value of information contained in the tails of the analyst forecast distribution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008332
superior forecasting ability systematically time their forecast revisions later in the fiscal quarter. We then examine whether … this superior ability persists after controlling for this timing advantage by using relative forecast error, a measure that … largely eliminates the timing advantage of recent forecasts. Using a sample of quarterly earnings forecast revisions over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131366
superior forecasting ability systematically time their forecast revisions later in the fiscal quarter. We then examine whether … this superior ability persists after controlling for this timing advantage by using relative forecast error, a measure that … largely eliminates the timing advantage of recent forecasts. Using a sample of quarterly earnings forecast revisions over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114963
Tests of excessive volatility along the lines of Shiller (1981) and Leroy and Porter (1981) count among the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214509
analysts observe the actions of investors and other analysts in order to more accurately forecast earnings and have the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224917