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Capital flow volatility is a concern for macroeconomic and financial stability. Nonetheless, literature is scarce in this topic. Our paper sheds light on this issue in two dimensions. First, using quarterly data for 33 emerging markets and developing economies over the period 1970Q1-2016Q4, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012028606
We propose and implement an empirical automatic bias correction (ABC) procedure for correcting the downward bias in the volatility estimators that utilize extreme value of asset prices. The bias originates from the random walk effect. The proposed estimator does not require knowledge of N, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738022
In this paper, we derive a reflection principle for a random walk with the symmetric double exponential distribution. This allows us to come up with the closed form solution for the joint probability of the running maximum and the terminal value of the random walk. Based on this new theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048828
Capital flow volatility is a concern for macroeconomic and financial stability. Nonetheless, literature is scarce in this topic. Our paper sheds light on this issue in two dimensions. First, using quarterly data for 33 emerging markets and developing economies over the period 1970Q1-2016Q4, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011771576
We introduce a heuristic bias-adjustment for the transaction price-based realized range estimator of daily volatility in the presence of bid–ask bounce and non-trading. The adjustment is an extension of the estimator proposed in Christensen et al. (2009). We relax the assumption that all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010730241
We construct a spot volatility estimator for high-frequency financial data which contain market microstructure noise. We prove consistency and derive the asymptotic distribution of the estimator. A data-driven method is proposed to select the scale parameter and the bandwidth parameter in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010785276
The main contribution of this paper is to propose a bootstrap method for inference on integrated volatility based on the pre-averaging approach of Jacod et al. (2009), where the pre-averaging is done over all possible overlapping blocks of consecutive observations. The overlapping nature of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851203
The main contribution of this paper is to propose bootstrap methods for realized volatility-like estimators defined on pre-averaged returns. In particular, we focus on the pre-averaged realized volatility estimator proposed by Podolskij and Vetter (2009). This statistic can be written (up to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851277