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We illustrate the role of left tail dependence measures, left exceedance correlation (LEC) and left tail mean (LTM), in equity risk premium (ERP) predictability. LEC and LTM measure the average of pairwise left tail dependency among major equity sectors incorporating shocks that are...
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We provide a new monthly cross-sectional measure of stock market tail risk, defined as the average of the daily cross-sectional tail risk, rather than the tail risk of the pooled daily returns within a month. The former better captures monthly tail risk rather than merely the tail risk on...
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The paper uses data on bids submitted by primary dealer banks at auctions of sovereign debt to quantify the price elasticity of demand. The price elasticity of demand correlates strongly with the volatility of returns of the same bonds traded in the secondary market but only weakly with their...
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