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MCMC techniques, we estimate the model by fitting it to US data on the level of the aggregate US stock market, the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094186
inference that feature varying level of trade-off between estimation precision and computational speed. Using monthly data for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314068
properties for detecting bubbles. Empirical analysis using price-dividend ratios of S&P500 highlights the advantages of our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973479
properties for detecting bubbles. Empirical analysis using price-dividend ratios of S&P500 highlights the advantages of our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011995195
improving the statistical fit of the model. Suitable algorithms of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) are developed to t the … estimation methods commonly used to estimate the SCD model in the literature, we work with the original specification of the … that our proposed model and corresponding estimation methodology perform quite well. We also apply an auxiliary particle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035789
In this paper, we propose a Markov Chain Quasi-Monte Carlo (MCQMC) approach for Bayesian estimation of a discrete … the conventional Bayesian estimation method for SV models, pseudo-random numbers are usually used. Here we develop an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116422
We propose a new methodology for designing flexible proposal densities for the joint posterior density of parameters and states in a nonlinear non-Gaussian state space model. We show that a highly efficient Bayesian procedure emerges when these proposal densities are used in an independent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399681
. Analysis using simulated data reveals that our method has better power for detecting bubbles compared to existing altnerative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010797650
The paper proposes a self-exciting asset pricing model that takes into account co-jumps between prices and volatility and self-exciting jump clustering. We employ a Bayesian learning approach to implement real time sequential analysis. We find evidence of self-exciting jump clustering since the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066907
There is a one-to-one mapping between the conventional time series parameters of a third-order autoregression and the more interpretable parameters of secular half-life, cyclical half-life and cycle period. The latter parameterization is better suited to interpretation of results using both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011504629