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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011968859
We re-examine dividend growth and return predictability evidence using 165 years of data from the Brussels Stock … Exchange. The conventional wisdom holds that time-varying dividend yield is predominately explained by changes in expected … returns and that expected dividend growth is only weakly forecastable. However, we find robust dividend growth predictability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897291
-the dividend and earnings yields-on the South African market, at both aggregated and sectoral level. Unlike most studies in South …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179575
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170658
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/U.K. (1629-1812), U.K. (1813-1870) and U.S. (1871-2015). We show that dividend yields are stationary and consistently forecast …We combine annual stock market data for the most important equity markets of the last four centuries: the Netherlands … business cycle, with expected returns increasing in recessions. We also find that, except for the period after 1945, dividend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031015
/U.K. (1629-1812), U.K. (1813-1870) and U.S. (1871-2015). We show that dividend yields are stationary and consistently forecast …We combine annual stock market data for the most important equity markets of the last four centuries: the Netherlands … business cycle, with expected returns increasing in recessions. We also find that, except for the period after 1945, dividend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457852
Firms whose quarterly earning announcements closely meet the most recent analyst consensus forecast enjoy higher long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150256
This paper introduces a novel, option-free methodology to calculate the tail risk premium for individual stocks, and examines the characteristics of this premium in the cross section of stock returns. The existence of a premium for bearing negative tail risk is significantly associated with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852702
We perform a comprehensive examination of the recursive, comparative predictive performance of a number of linear and non-linear models for UK stock and bond returns. We estimate Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STR) regime switching models,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008990694