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financial crisis, modeling and forecasting mortgage demand and subsequent approvals have become a central issue in the banking … number of new mortgage approvals and markedly improve their nowcasting and forecasting performance. … have been shown to improve forecasting models for various economic and financial series. In the aftermath of the global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030090
from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation …, Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While useful in developing models of forecasting inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
This report examines whether Google search queries can be used to predict the present and the near future house prices in Finland. Compared to a simple benchmark model, Google searches improve the prediction of the present house price index by 7.5 % measured by mean absolute error. In addition,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037683
This paper examines the usefulness of Google Trends data for forecasting mortgage lending in the Czech Republic. While … significantly. In addition to forecasting performance evaluation, an experimental indicator of restrictively tight mortgage credit … the official monthly statistics on mortgage lending come with a publication lag of one month, the data on how often people …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011170398
We present a medium-scale dynamic factor model to estimate and forecast the rate of growth of the Spanish economy in the very short term. The intermediate size of the model overcomes the serious specification problems associated with large scale-models and the implicit loss of information of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317084
limited to short-term predictions, the value of Google data for forecasting purposes is episodic, and the improvements in … forecasting accuracy are only modest. The results, obtained by (pseudo) out-of-sample forecast comparison, are robust to a state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037588
There are over 3 billion searches globally on Google every day. This report examines whether Google search queries can be used to predict the present and the near future unemployment rate in Finland. Predicting the present and the near future is of interest, as the official records of the state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037651
In this report we document the ETLAnow project. ETLAnow is a model for forecasting with big data. At the moment, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037674
, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399
There are over 3 billion searches globally on Google every day. This report examines whether Google search queries can be used to predict the present and the near future unemployment rate in Finland. Predicting the present and the near future is of interest, as the official records of the state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010987124