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This paper conducts a USDTRY rate forecast by ARIMA method using 3,069 daily observations between the dates of 3 … forecast using ARIMA method generate static models, and none of them conduct multi-step prediction or out of sample fit. The …-term ARIMAs in predicting accuracy. Specifically, for the short-term ARIMAs appropriate specification is raised as ARIMA (2 …
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and the ARIMA/GARCH modelling method to compare the forecast performance on the gold futures prices. The results from the … analysis show that while the standard variance transformation method may provide better point forecast values, the ARIMA …/GARCH modelling method provides much shorter forecast intervals. The empirical results of this study which rationalise the effect of …
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