Motivated by recent financial crises in East Asia and the U.S. where the downfall of a small number of firms had an economy-wide impact, this paper generalizes existing reduced-form models to include default intensities dependent on the default of a counterparty. In this model, firms have...

Taking the term structure of Treasury securities and Eurodollar rates as exogenous, this paper provides an integrated approach to the pricing and hedging of LIBOR derivatives. Our approach allows the spread between Eurodollar and Treasury rates to reflect both the credit risk in holding...

This paper provides a new methodology for pricing and hedging derivative securities involving credit risk. Two types of credit risks are considered. The first is where the asset underlying the derivative security may default. The second is where the writer of the derivative security may default....

The Black-Scholes formula is the quot;industry standardquot; for pricing options on a variety of instruments. This paper shows that even when markets are incomplete, the Black- Scholes option pricing formula can arise in an equilibrium merely from self-fulfilling beliefs that it is the correct...

This paper studies a new theory for pricing options in a large trader economy. This theory necessitates studying the impact that derivative security markets have on market manipulation. In an economy with a stock, money market account, and a derivative security, it is shown, by example, that the...

Recent advances in the theory of credit risk allow the use of standard term structure machinery for default risk modeling and estimation. The empirical literature in this area often interprets the drift adjustments of the default intensity's diffusion state variables as the only default risk...

This paper investigates the forecasting accuracy of bankruptcy hazard rate models for U.S. companies over the time period 1962 - 1999 using both yearly and monthly observation intervals. The contribution of this paper is multiple-fold. One, using an expanded bankruptcy database we validate the...

This paper uses an HJM model to price TIPS and related derivative securities. First, using the market prices of TIPS and ordinary U.S. Treasury securities, both the real and nominal zero-coupon bond price curves are obtained using standard coupon-bond price stripping procedures. Next, a...

This paper characterizes the liquidity discount, the difference between the market value of a large trader's position and its value when liquidated. This discount occurs whenever traders face downward sloping demand curves for shares and execution lags in selling shares. This characterization...

This paper presents a new definition of market completeness that is independent of the notions of no arbitrage and equivalent martingale measures. Our definition has many advantages, all shown herein. First, it preserves the Second Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing, even in complex economies....