Fetzer, Thiemo; Guin, Benjamin; Netto, Felipe; Saidi, Farzad - 2024
to holders of commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS). Using detailed micro data, we show that cash flow shocks … during the COVID-19 pandemic predict CRE mortgage delinquency, especially those stemming from lease expiration of offices …, reflecting lower demand for these properties. Insurers react to such cash flow shocks by selling more exposed CMBS—mirrored by a …