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forecasting. The analysis confirms the importance to separate common shocks from propagation of country- and variable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011948481
This paper provides an overview of a time-varying Structural Panel Bayesian Vector Autoregression model that deals with model misspecification and unobserved heterogeneity problems in applied macroeconomic analyses when studying time-varying relationships and dynamic interdependencies among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696223
This paper provides an overview of a time-varying Structural Panel Bayesian Vector Autoregression model that deals with model misspecification and unobserved heterogeneity problems in applied macroeconomic analyses when studying time-varying relationships and dynamic interdependencies among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012025648
This paper tries to investigate the economic consequences of a scenario where the EU imposes economic sanctions on Sudan. The idea of the paper is motivated by the deteriorating relations between Sudan and EU endorsed by the devastating conflicts in Darfur region and its related implications in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137700
The focus and contribution of behavioral economics is discussed in detail focusing on its varied contribution to economic theory, economic analysis, and public policy. Recent contributions related to the work of Kahneman and Tversky's heuristics and biases paradigm are critically assessed in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012720537
El objetivo de este trabajo es contrastar empíricamente el impacto entre países de shocks de precios de materias primas en el crecimiento de la PTF agregada en una muestra de economías emergentes. En un contexto de contabilidad de crecimiento, estimamos crecimientos de la PTF específicos por...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530550
We examine which indicators are most useful in explaining the cost of economic crises in EU and OECD countries between 1970 and 2010. To define the dependent variable we combine a measure of costs to the economy, which consists of the output and employment loss and the fiscal deficit, with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048498
Using a panel of 40 EU and OECD countries for the period 1970-2010 we construct an early warning system. The system consists of a discrete and a continuous model. In the discrete model, we collect an extensive database of various types of economic crises called CDEC 40-40 and examine potential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009358976
We provide a critical review of the literature on early warning indicators of economics crises and propose methods to overcome several pitfalls of the previous contributions. We use a quarterly panel of 40 EU and OECD countries for the period 1970–2010. As the response variable, we construct a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009364345
We provide a critical review of the literature on early warning indicators of economics crises and propose methods to overcome several pitfalls of the previous contributions. We use a quarterly panel of 40 EU and OECD countries for the period 1970-2010. As the response variable, we construct a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322259