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future returns is consistent with theory, which predicts the marginal utility of consumption to rise when ambiguity is high …We examine whether ambiguity is priced in the cross-section of expected stock returns. Using the cross …-sectional dispersion in real-time forecasts of real GDP growth as a measure for ambiguity, we find that high ambiguity beta stocks earn …
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We create a market-wide measure of dispersion in options investors' expectations by aggregating across all stocks the dispersion in trading volume across moneynesses (DISP). DISP exhibits strong negative predictive power for future market returns and its information content is not subsumed by...
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