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This paper provides an analysis of regime switching in volatility and out-of-sample forecasting of the Cyprus Stock Exchange using daily data for the period 1996-2002. We first model volatility regime switching within a univariate Markov-Switching framework. Modelling stock returns within this...
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In this paper a model for estimating the reduction of the probability of premature death emanating from a transport infrastructure investment is developed. As a starting point a reference probability of premature death is arbitrarily chosen and two measures of estimating the value of life saving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014184281
This paper re-examines the purchasing power parity theory for five bilateral Canadian dollar exchange rates. The Johansen cointegration technique is employed, and we find evidence in favor of PPP when wholesale prices are used but not when consumer prices are utilized, whereas in all but one...
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In this paper we develop a comprehensive Vector Autoregression Model consisting of five variables; the stock market and price indices of pairs of countries, as well as their bilateral nominal exchange rate. Then, we show that under certain long-run restrictions, our approach encompasses a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012611197
This paper reexamines the forward rate unbiasedness hypothesis (FRUH) during the 1920s and it contributes to the literature as follows: first, it utilizes a database that includes currencies not studied before, as well as the 3 month forward rates; second, it applies three different approaches...
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