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The purpose of this paper is to shed new light on the conflicting empirical evidence on the relationship between credit spreads and Treasury rates. Following a general-to-specific modelling approach, we were unable to accept the presence of a long-run relationship between Baa credit spreads and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027576
This paper investigates the profitability of a trading strategy, based on recurrent neural networks, that attempts to predict the direction-of-change of the market in the case of the NASDAQ general index. The sample extends over the period 2/8/1971 - 4/7/1998, while the sub-period 4/8/1998 -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012727499
This paper investigates the nonlinear predictability of technical trading rules based on a recurrent neural network as well as a neurofuzzy model. The efficiency of the trading strategies was considered upon the prediction of the direction of the market in case of NASDAQ and NIKKEI returns. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012727536
In a recent line of research the low interest-rate environment of the early to mid 2000s is viewed as an element that triggered increased risk-taking appetite of banks in search for yield. This paper uses approximately 18,000 annual observations on euro area banks over the period 2001-2008 and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015220079
Using a number of theoretical considerations, we define distinct periods of anxiety for key economic agents that are involved in lending decisions; namely, consumers, CEOs, and banks. The main characteristic of anxious periods is that the perceptions and expectations about economic conditions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015227878
This paper examines the short- and long-term relationships between seven Central Eastern European (CEE) stock markets and two developed stock markets, namely the German market and the US market. Application of the Gonzalo and Granger (1995) methodology indicates that the examined stock markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009476878
This paper examines the Purchasing Power Parity theory from a long-run perspective in the presence of a parallel or 'black' market for US dollars in Greece using monthly data for the recent float. Johansen's FIML multivariate cointegration techniques is applied. Recent development associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005511671
In this paper an attempt is made to provide an understanding of the black market premium. To this end the operation of the parallel or black market for US dollars in Greece during the recent float is investigated. A series of tests is employed in order to examine the role of changes in agents'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005485245