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' preliminary stylized facts during the COVID-19 pandemic. In particular, a temporary lockdown policy reduces the epidemic's size …The COVID-19 pandemic has produced a global health and economic crisis. The entire world has faced a trade-off between … endogenous dynamics for the pandemic, variable labor utilization, and four lockdown policies with different degrees of size and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162238
with endogenous dynamics for the pandemic. There are three main results. First, the macroeconomic effects of the epidemic … measure to 35 percent with a strong containment measure; second, recovery from recession emerges when the lockdown policy is … relaxed. On that basis, the output would return to its pre-lockdown level by the end of 2021; third, a return infection is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826008
We propose an event-study research design to identify the nature and propagation of large unusual shocks in DSGE models … and apply it to study the macroeconomic effects of the Covid shock. The initial outbreak is represented as the onset of a … new shock process where the shock loads on wedges associated with the model's usual shocks. Realizations of the Covid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013375147
We study the impact of a COVID-19 relief program on compliance with confinement measures in Italy, the early epicenter of the pandemic. We match information on the allocation of funds across Italian municipalities with data tracking citizens' movements drawn from mobile devices and vehicles'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012427771
Recession. We employ a standard mediumscale dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model extended by nonoptimising …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011804350
) in the context of an emerging market economy. To this end, we develop a small open economy DSGE model with the Bernanke … had been severely affected by the demand shock (around 45.1%), the financial shocks (32.2%), and the productivity shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382934
estimate the empirical magnitude of lockdown spillovers in a set of panel local projections. We use daily indicators of …. Lockdown shocks originating in the most important trading partners have a strong and significant adverse effect on economic … lockdown shocks. The results are robust with respect to alternative country weights used to construct foreign shocks, i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048624
estimate the empirical magnitude of lockdown spillovers in a set of panel local projections. We use daily indicators of …. Lockdown shocks originating in the most important trading partners have a strong and significant adverse effect on economic … lockdown shocks. The results are robust with respect to alternative country weights used to construct foreign shocks, i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048626
magnitude of lockdown spillovers in a set of panel local projections. We use daily indicators of economic activity such as stock … returns, effective exchange rates, NO2 emissions, mobility and maritime container trade. Lockdown shocks originating in the … stock prices and exports, the spillovers can even be larger than the effect of domestic lockdown shocks. The results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013185744
subsequent recovery in the US. The Great Recession was mainly caused by a large demand shock and by the ZLB on the interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434680