Abstract An important problem in many domains is to predict how a system will respond to interventions. This task is inherently linked to estimating the system’s underlying causal structure. To this end, Invariant Causal Prediction (ICP) [ 1 ] has been proposed which learns a causal model...

Estimation of structure, such as in variable selection, graphical modelling or cluster analysis, is notoriously difficult, especially for high dimensional data. We introduce stability selection. It is based on subsampling in combination with (high dimensional) selection algorithms. As such, the...

Abstract This work investigates the intersection property of conditional independence. It states that for random variables $$A,B,C$$ and X we have that $$X \bot \bot A{\kern 1pt} {\kern 1pt} |{\kern 1pt} {\kern 1pt} B,C$$ and $$X\, \bot \bot\, B{\kern 1pt} {\kern 1pt} |{\kern 1pt} {\kern 1pt}...

Ensemble methods aim at improving the predictive performance of a given statistical learning or model fitting technique. The general principleof ensemble methods is to construct a linear combinationof some model fitting methods, instead of using a single fit of the method.