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Consider the problem faced by a decision maker (DM) who must select the order in which to evaluate the unknown alternatives displayed by an online search engine. DMs do not know the distribution of the realizations that result from clicking on an alternative and must therefore account for the...
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Road traffic injuries are a leading cause of death worldwide. Proper estimation of car accident risk is critical for the appropriate allocation of resources in healthcare, insurance, civil engineering and other industries. We show how images of houses are predictive of car accidents. We analyse...
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We develop uncertainty indices for the United States and Australia based on freely accessible, real time Google Trends … data. Our Google Trends Uncertainty (GTU) indices are found to be positively correlated to a variety of alternative proxies … for uncertainty available for these two countries. VAR investigations document an economically and statistically …
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The preliminary evidence in the literature suggests that changes in uncertainty have a role in shaping the U ….S. economic cycle. But what is effectively measured by the different available indicators of uncertainty still remains an … "uncertain" issue. This paper has two aims: (i) to introduce a new uncertainty indicator (GT) based on Internet searches; and (ii …
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