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Jamal and Sunder (1996) showed that the median prices in double auctions populated by zero-intelligence (ZI) traders whose trading limits are set by two biased heuristics tend to converge to the same equilibrium as if their trading limits were set by applying Bayes' Rule. This note provides an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005587088
We use computer simulation to examine three asset markets with imperfect information. In processing imperfect information, traders in the three markets are bayesian, empirical bayesian, and heuristic (representativeness and anchor-and-adjust) respectively. All three converge to the same bayesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080606
Jamal and Sunder (1996) showed that the median prices in double auctions populated by zero-intelligence (ZI) traders whose trading limits are set by two biased heuristics tend to converge to the same equilibrium as if their trading limits were set by applying Bayes' Rule. This note provides an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012708283
The possibility of building a mathematical theory of a system or of simulating that system does not depend on having an adequate microtheory of the natural laws that govern the system components. Such a microtheory might indeed be simply irrelevant. Herbert A. Simon, The Sciences of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012785445
Three phenomena-the disparity between the assumed and observed attributes of economic man, the link between nature and artifacts, and the use of computers as a source of knowledge--fascinated Herbert A. Simon. He built a new paradigm for each field bounded rationality to deal with the disparity,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012786173
During the 1780?'s, some mathematicians addressed economic and statistical decision problems in the same way. Condorcet and Laplace in France, Tetens in Denmark applied a unique mathematical tool to compute both the bankruptcy probability of an insurance company and the estimation risk. Such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008578923
We develop a behavioral theory of real options that relaxes the informational and behavioral assumptions underlying applications of financial options theory to real assets. To do so, we augment real option theory's focus on uncertain future asset values (prospective uncertainty) with feedback...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856401
Surrounding the passage of Dodd-Frank, a noted author argues that existing market manipulation statutes cannot effectively prosecute manipulation cases because the statutes prohibit fraud, not market power. This is incorrect. While traditional economic theory can explain the incentives...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132055
Provides some theoretical developments on the topic of the performativity of economics.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005081419
Technology & Marketing Ventures, Inc. (TMVi) has developed a creative, integrated bi-partisan solution to jumpstart the American economy and create American jobs. To facilitate executing the plan, TMVi has architected and designed a focused collaborative network organization (CNO). The TMVi Tax...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135414