The aggregation procedure when a sample of length N is divided into blocks of length m = o(N), m ? ? and observations in each block are replaced by their sample mean, is widely used in statistical inference. Taqqu, Teverovsky and Willinger (1995), Teverovsky and Taqqu (1997) introduced an...

This paper introduces and analyses a setting with general heterogeneity in regression modelling. It shows that regression models with fixed or time-varying parameters can be estimated by OLS or time-varying OLS methods, respectively, for a very wide class of regressors and noises, not covered by...

We consider time series forecasting in the presence of ongoing structural change where both the time series dependence and the nature of the structural change are unknown. Methods that downweight older data, such as rolling regressions, forecast averaging over different windows and exponentially...