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This paper characterizes the probability of a market failure defined as the default of two or more globally systemically important banks (G-SIBs) in a small interval of time. The default probabilities of the G-SIBs are correlated through the possible existence of a market-wide stress event. The...
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This paper derives a generalized multiple-factor asset pricing model using only the assumptions of the existence of an equivalent martingale measure, frictionless, and competitive markets. As such, all existing multiple-factor asset pricing models, including the intertermporal CAPM and Ross'...
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Recent academic work has developed a method to determine, in real time, if a given stock is exhibiting a price bubble. Currently there is speculation in the financial press concerning the existence of a price bubble in the aftermath of the recent IPO of LinkedIn. We analyze stock price tick data...
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This paper shows that high frequency trading may play a dysfunctional role in financial markets. Contrary to arbitrageurs who make financial markets more efficient by taking advantage of and thereby eliminating mispricings, high frequency traders can create a mispricing that they unknowingly...
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This paper provides asymptotic valuation formulas for credit derivatives on baskets, including synthetic and cash flow CDOs. As such, it provides the link between the "bottom up" and "top down" approaches used for the pricing of these credit risky securities
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This paper extends and refines the Jarrow et al. (2006, 2008) arbitrage free pricing theory for bubbles to characterize forward and futures prices. Some new insights are obtained in this regard. In particular, we: (i) provide a canonical process for asset price bubbles suitable for empirical...
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